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Macro Keys: Emerging Markets & World Trade
10 March 2014
Macro Keys: The Elusive Dollar Rally
03 March 2014
 

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Weight Watcher: Recovery Phase Two

06 March 2014

Weight Watcher: Recovery Phase Two
In Phase One of an economic recovery, equities and bond yields rise on the back of better economic data, but short rates remained anchored by central banks, steepening yield curves. This phase is characterised by a high correlation between stocks and long-term yields. In Phase Two, central banks implement their exit strategies, short rates start to creep up, and curves start to flatten - with very important implications for asset price dynamics. We think this is now beginning.   read more

Q-Series: Will Animal Spirits Spur US Capex?

06 March 2014

Will US companies finally start ploughing more of their profits into expansion, rather than into stock buybacks and dividend increases? Our new business equipment forecasting model, which includes our new UBS Animal Spirits Index of business confidence, has caused us to raise our 2014 forecast for real capex spending growth to 7.5%, from 5.3% prevously foreseen - which is the midpoint of an estimated 5-10% range of most likely outcomes - after some 3% last year.   read more

Flow Watch: Equity Buyers Go Global

10 March 2014

Following a weak January, UBS client flows showed a sharp spike in net buying of equities in February, reaching extreme levels toward month-end. Our clients' appetite for stocks extended to all major regions of the globe, with net buying interest in US, Europe ex-UK, and Global Emerging Market (GEM) equities. In the case of GEM, February net flows were positive, but not as strong as the three month average.  read more

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UBS News

The latest instalment of King’s Comment: Voluntary agreements and country actions: the way forward on climate change
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UBS and Bridge Academy win the Prime Minister’s Big Society Award read more
 

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Pan-Asia Telco Conference 
14-15 May 2014
Hong Kong
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19-22 May 2014
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